AI-enabled Strategic Risk Scenarios: Combining Generative Models and Probabilistic Forecasting for Executive Planning

Author(s)	Dr. Anamika Srivastawa
Country	India
Abstract	Abstract- This “reflections from practice” piece explores some of the implications of emerging, artificially intelligent tools for the futures and foresight prac‐ademic community. The authors provide background on these emerging, artificially intelligent tools, and explore, with special emphasis on scenarios, a specific tool named “Chat Generative Pre‐trained Transformer” (hereafter, Chat GPT). The authors examine the utility of scenarios generated by artificial intelligence (AI) and explore whether or not the futures and foresight prac‐ademic community should selectively embrace advances in AI to assist in the generation of scenarios. In particular, the authors will consider (1) the utility of using scenarios generated completely by AI, (2) whether what is produced, in fact, constitute scenarios, based on conventional definitions, and (3) assess the utility of using AI to assist in the production of scenarios.
Keywords	Artificial intelligence, ChatGPT, scenarios, strategic planning, Chat Generative Pre‐trained Transformer.
Field	Computer > Artificial Intelligence / Simulation / Virtual Reality
Published In	Volume 7, Issue 6, November-December 2025
Published On	2025-12-24
DOI	https://doi.org/10.36948/ijfmr.2025.v07i06.63820

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