Institutional & Systems Governance of the Youth Development Fund (YDF) and Community Security in Tanzania: Evidence from Mtwara with Composite Indices (API, TSI, CI, CSI)

Nassibu Richard Mwaifunga; Dr. Michael Msendekwa; Omary Maanaka

doi:10.36948/ijfmr.2026.v08i02.69586

Institutional & Systems Governance of the Youth Development Fund (YDF) and Community Security in Tanzania: Evidence from Mtwara with Composite Indices (API, TSI, CI, CSI)

Author(s)	Mr. Nassibu Richard Mwaifunga, Dr. Michael Msendekwa, Omary Maanaka
Country	Tanzania
Abstract	This study investigates how institutional and systems governance shape the peace dividends of youth financing in Tanzania. Using an explanatory sequential mixed-methods design (QUAN→QUAL), we analyze survey data from 486 youths and qualitative evidence from 35 Key Informant Interviews and 5 Focus Group Discussions across 6 LGAs in Mtwara. Four composite indices Access & Participation (API), Training & Support (TSI), Challenge Index (CI), and Community Security (CSI) were constructed via Principal Component Analysis and normalized to 0–100. Multivariate OLS models with district fixed effects and cluster-robust standard errors estimate associations, complemented by diagnostics (VIF for multicollinearity, Breusch–Pagan/White for heteroskedasticity, Ramsey RESET for functional form) and QUAN↔QUAL integration through joint displays. Results show that API (β≈0.34, p<0.001) and TSI (β≈0.29, p<0.001) positively predict CSI, while CI (β≈−0.27, p<0.001) is negatively associated with CSI; the model achieves Adjusted R²≈0.41. Qualitative narratives uncover mechanisms targeting/exclusion, underfunding and delays, weak monitoring/repayment, fragmented coordination, and political interference explaining the quantitative patterns. Kaiser Meyer Olkin (KMO≥0.70), Bartlett’s test (p<0.001), and Cronbach’s α≥0.70 support construct validity and reliability. We conclude that governance quality and systems coordination determine whether youth financing translates into community security gains. Policy implications include operationalizing a unified YDF-MIS across LGAs, transparent eligibility and public disclosure with gender/disability quotas, regional steering committees, routine audits with community oversight, adequate budgets with timely disbursement, and peace-sensitivity training. Theoretically, the findings jointly validate Institutional Theory, Systems Theory, and the Peace-through-Development model.
Keywords	Youth Development Fund; Institutional Governance; Systems Coordination; Composite Indices; PCA; Community Security; Tanzania; Mtwara.
Field	Sociology > Intelligence / Security
Published In	Volume 8, Issue 2, March-April 2026
Published On	2026-04-12
DOI	https://doi.org/10.36948/ijfmr.2026.v08i02.69586

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Institutional & Systems Governance of the Youth Development Fund (YDF) and Community Security in Tanzania: Evidence from Mtwara with Composite Indices (API, TSI, CI, CSI)

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