International Journal For Multidisciplinary Research

E-ISSN: 2582-2160   •   Impact Factor: 9.24

A Widely Indexed Open Access Peer Reviewed Multidisciplinary Bi-monthly Scholarly International Journal

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Volume 8 Issue 2
March-April 2026

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To Analyze Patterns and Factors of Price Fluctuations in Agricultural Commodity Markets

Author(s) Ms. Sonali Chaurasia, Prof. Dr. Pinki Sharma, Prof. Dr. Akhilesh A Waoo
Country India
Abstract The aim of the study is to investigate the trends and predictors of price fluctuations on agricultural commodity markets through the systematic review of the literature on the subject (both empirical and theoretical). The price volatility in the agricultural prices has significant effects to the income stability of the farmers, consumer welfare, food security and the macroeconomic stability. The analysis is done on the basis of synthesis of the findings on the demand supply relationships, climatic variability, government intervention, international trading policies, speculative trading, and financialization of the commodity markets. It adopts a systematic review methodology to group the available literature into thematic groups to incorporate the macroeconomic factors, structural market inefficiency, behavioural factors, and technological factors. Other methodological tools compared in the paper are time-series econometrics (ARIMA, GARCH, VAR), panel data models and machine learning models. The most important areas of research gaps include predictive analytics, real-time data integration, and model of climate-risks. The paper has also come up with a conclusion by providing a synthesized analytic model that incorporates econometric and AI-based models to boost and control the hazards in agricultural prices.
Keywords Agricultural commodity markets; Price volatility; Supply-demand dynamics; Climate shocks; Econometric modelling; Market integration; Speculation; Food security.
Field Computer
Published In Volume 8, Issue 2, March-April 2026
Published On 2026-04-01
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E-ISSN 2582-2160
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